THE population of the Scottish Borders is expected to rise by over 10 per cent by 2035, with pensioners in the region accounting for the biggest increase.
A new report predicts the number of pensioners in the Borders will go up by over 30 per cent, while there could be an huge increase of almost 100 per cent in the number of residents over the age of 75.
National Records of Scotland has issued its projections for the 25-year period from 2010-2035 and the predicted rise in population expected in the Scottish Borders – up from 112,870 to 124,824 – is in line with the 10 per cent rise across the country.
Scotland’s population is expected to go up from 5.22 million in 2010 to 5.76 million by 2035, and continue to rise into the future.
Registrar General George MacKenzie said: “By 2035 we expect the population of Scotland to increase by about 10 per cent. But in East Lothian and Perth and Kinross, we think it will grow by around a third.”
The projected figures are broken down into age groups and in the Borders the fact that the number of pensioners is expected to rise by 32.2 per cent while those of working age will only rise by 2.5 per cent could have some bearing on the planned provision of services of Scottish Borders Council’ and NHS Borders in the future.”
The number of children in the region is expected to rise by 7.9 per cent. In the Borders, 13.8 per cent of the current population are aged 16 to 29 years, but this is the age group most likely to leave the region. But the National Records of Scotland report points out that “many social and economic factors influence population change” and “involve inherent uncertainty which is difficult to quantify”.
It states: “It is increasingly important to have high quality statistics on migration and the population, for policy development, and for planning and providing public services. Population projections can be used to help with the planning of services in different geographical areas.
“The purpose of sub-national projections is to provide estimates of the future population of areas in Scotland as a common framework for use in resource allocation and local planning in a number of different fields.”